Global Warming in the Pipeline

Dr. Peter Carter, Paul Beckwith and Regina Valdez discuss a recent paper called ‘Global Warming in the Pipeline’ by James Hansen et al. The paper explains global warming will likely pierce the 1.5°C ceiling in the 2020s and 2°C before 2050 under the current geopolitical approach to dealing with anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions.

This video was recorded on May 24th, 2023, and published on June 18th, 2023.

Some of the topics discussed:

• How one of the key characteristics of climate change known for decades has always been inertia and momentum. This paper shows that at the current levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, the planet is slowly moving towards a 10°C rise in global average temperature.
• How James Hansen is a voice crying in the climate wilderness as he always seems to have been because the scientific community is not agreeing with him.
• How one of the big feedbacks in the climate system is ice sheet albedo and its key role in leading us to a 10°C rise.
• How the methane emissions feedback from the warming of the wetlands will be inevitable.
• How a new draft of the paper was released on May 19th.
• How the Global Climate Models (GCMs) have been under predicting the global average temperature rates of change and how by using the Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS), which is how much the climate warms for a doubling of CO2 levels, we can arrive at much more accurate prediction of global average temperature rise from paleoclimate data.
• The enormity of consequences of climate change demands a return to a Holocene-level global temperature with required actions that include:
  
  1. A global increasing price on GHG emissions
  2. An East-West cooperation in a way that accommodates developing world needs
  3. Intervention with Earth’s radiation imbalance to phase down today’s massive human-made “geo-transformation” of Earth’s climate.
• and much more . . .

Links

• Global Warming in the Pipeline

• Global warming in the pipeline (pdf)

• 1.5 degrees Celsius of warming, World Meteorlogical Organization says

• Radiative Forcing

• Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim

• Climate Model (wikipedia)

• Global Climate Model (IPCC)

• Paleo-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) (wikipedia)

• These countries will be dangerously hot within the next century

• Quantifying the human cost of global warming

• Exxon knew about climate change almost 40 years ago

• Euan Nisbet, Professor of Earth Sciences

• Storms of My Grandchildren

• MEER Update - November 2022 (CEF Video)

Regular Panelists:

• Dr. Peter Carter - MD, Expert IPCC Reviewer and the director of the Climate Emergency Institute

• Paul Beckwith - Climate Systems Scientist. Professor at the University of Ottawa’s Paleoclimatology Laboratory as well as at Carleton University

• Regina Valdez - Program Director, Climate Reality Project, NYC. GreenFaith Fellow and LEED Green Associate

Video Production:

• Charles Gregoire – Climate Reality Leader, Electrical Engineer, Webmaster and IT prime for FacingFuture.Earth and the Climate Emergency Forum

• Heidi Brault - Climate Reality Leader, BA(Psychology), Library & Information Technician Diploma - Video production and website assistant - Organizer and convener, Metadata technician, COP28 Team Lead for FacingFuture.Earth and the Climate Emergency Forum.

Attributions:

Background Music:

• Title: Through the City II
• Author: Crowander
• Source: Free Music Archive
• License: BY-NC 4.0

Image and Video:

• Image and Video Attributions